How Long Will It Take? Using the Cynefin Model and Probabilistic Forecasting in Software Projects
ADC - Audio Developer Conference via YouTube
Overview
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Explore forecasting methodologies for software projects through this 21-minute conference talk from ADC 2024, focusing on long-range planning when scope and specifications remain uncertain. Learn to apply the Cynefin model to assess whether projects are Complex or Complicated and understand why this distinction matters for project management. Discover how to select appropriate Agile framework methodologies and tools based on project assessment, examine the interaction between Business, Operations, Hardware, and Software efforts, and understand how burn up/down charts integrate with Waterfall planning. Master techniques for estimating backlogs in Scrum or Kanban environments, particularly during early project phases, and explore additional factors to consider in delivery strategy development. Gain insights into probabilistic forecasting as part of Actionable Agile methodology and its critical importance for accurate project timeline predictions, with real-world examples from Focusrite's implementation of these approaches in audio development projects.
Syllabus
How Long Will It Take? Using the Cynefin Model and Probabilistic Forecasting in Software Projects
Taught by
ADC - Audio Developer Conference