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Coursera

Strategic Forecasting & Risk Management

Starweaver via Coursera

Overview

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Navigate uncertainty with a structured approach to strategic forecasting, investment evaluation, and risk management. This course explores how macroeconomic trends, industry dynamics, competitive positioning, and company-specific drivers shape financial performance and long-term value creation. Learners use frameworks such as Porter’s Five Forces, SWOT analysis, and industry life cycle analysis to develop realistic assumptions for revenue growth, margins, cash flows, and capital allocation decisions. The course covers financial forecasting techniques including trend analysis, scenario planning, and Monte Carlo simulation, alongside essential capital budgeting tools such as Net Present Value (NPV), Internal Rate of Return (IRR), payback analysis, and Weighted Average Cost of Capital (WACC). Learners also examine market, credit, operational, and liquidity risks through stress testing, sensitivity analysis, Value at Risk (VaR), and practical risk mitigation strategies. Through hands-on exercises and a comprehensive CFO-focused project, learners build forecasting models, evaluate investments, and develop risk management plans that support informed financial decision-making in dynamic business environments.

Syllabus

  • Industry Analysis & Forecasting
    • Learn to translate macro, micro, and competitive dynamics into clear forecasting assumptions. Use strategic frameworks to understand industry structure, company positioning, and growth drivers.
  • Forecasting & Capital Budgeting
    • Develop robust forecasts with deterministic and stochastic methods, then evaluate projects using core capital budgeting tools and the cost of capital.
  • Risk Analysis & Mitigation
    • Quantify market, credit, operational, and liquidity risks; stress the model; and deploy mitigation strategies including hedging and diversification.

Taught by

Manish Gupta and Starweaver

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