Why Kalshi Bettors Lose - 72 Million Trades Analyzed

Why Kalshi Bettors Lose - 72 Million Trades Analyzed

Part Time Larry via YouTube Direct link

The Optimism Tax / Default Bias

5 of 8

5 of 8

The Optimism Tax / Default Bias

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Why Kalshi Bettors Lose - 72 Million Trades Analyzed

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  1. 1 Becker Blog post
  2. 2 Longshot Bias
  3. 3 Makers and Takers
  4. 4 Yogi Berra Bias: “It Ain’t Over Til it’s Over”
  5. 5 The Optimism Tax / Default Bias
  6. 6 Emotional Categories
  7. 7 Black Swans and the occasional longshot
  8. 8 The “Nothing Ever Happens” Strategy

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