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Randomized Controlled Trial RCT Discussion
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Classroom Contents
METR's Benchmarks vs Economics - The AI Capability Measurement Gap
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- 1 Introduction to METR & The Capability Gap
- 2 The Problem with Current Benchmarks Saturation & Interpretation
- 3 METR’s New Methodology: Human Time Horizons
- 4 Empirical Results: Fitting Capability Curves
- 5 Time Horizon Trends: Claude 3 Opus vs. o1-preview
- 6 Randomized Controlled Trial RCT Discussion
- 7 Reconciling the Gap: Why High Benchmarks Don't Mean High Productivity
- 8 Explaining the Discrepancy: Context, Reliability, and Task Interdependence
- 9 Future Work & Hiring at METR
