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Explore the complex relationship between standardized test scores and college admissions decisions through a comprehensive analysis of over 16,000 graduate school applications. Examine how GRE scores impact both academic performance predictions and actual admissions outcomes at a major public policy master's program over approximately ten years. Discover the surprising disconnect between improved predictive accuracy and marginal gains in admitted student quality when standardized tests are incorporated into admissions processes. Learn how fine-grained transcript information and additional application materials can reduce reliance on test scores while maintaining prediction quality. Understand why enhanced predictions don't always translate to different admissions decisions, particularly when selecting among similarly qualified candidates. Gain insights into the ongoing debate surrounding standardized testing in higher education admissions and the critical distinction between prediction accuracy and decision-making effectiveness in educational assessment systems.
