Learning the BAYESics - Statistic's Most Powerful Theorem

In this 16-minute talk from the Pint of Science 2024 festival, join Emily Alger, a researcher at The Alan Turing Institute, as she demystifies Bayesian statistics for a general audience. Discover how statistics influences our daily decision-making processes, from trivial choices to significant judgments. Learn the fundamentals of Bayesian Statistics through practical examples and understand how Bayes' rule can be applied in everyday scenarios. Follow along as Alger demonstrates how our decisions evolve and become more accurate as we gather additional information, particularly in high-stakes situations. The presentation includes a simulation of a clinical trial, illustrating how dose recommendations for patients change as more data becomes available from each cohort in the trial. No prior statistical knowledge required for this accessible introduction to one of statistics' most powerful theorems.