You will bring together everything from the path to evaluate real probability and risk claims from health, finance, news, advertising, and public debate. You'll apply a structured questioning routine, resist common manipulations, and weigh both likelihood and consequence under genuine uncertainty.
Overview
Syllabus
- Unit 1: Apply a Structured Evaluation Routine
- Match Each Step to What It Reveals
- Break Down a Risk Claim
- Analyze An Everyday Claim
- Investigate a Complex Claim
- Unit 2: Evaluate Evidence Across Different Domains
- Name That Misconception
- Identify the Most Important Evidence
- Spot the Shared Misconception
- Evaluate The Evidence
- Unit 3: Question Claims in News and Advertising
- Check Everyday Claims
- Categorize Claims by Technique
- Revise The Claim
- Question the Miracle Supplement Ad
- Unit 4: Balance Likelihood and Consequence
- Risk Judgment Practice
- Classify Risk Scenarios
- Build the Expected-Impact Calculation
- Find the Expected Impact
- Decide Wisely When Outcomes Are Uncertain
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