Introduction to Probability

Overview

Probability helps you make smarter decisions—from judging risks to interpreting data. In this path, you’ll learn to calculate chances, estimate probabilities from experiments, build useful models, and solve multi-stage problems with confidence using only basic arithmetic.

Syllabus

Course 1: What Is Probability?
Course 2: Probability from Experiments
Course 3: Building Probability Models
Course 4: Compound Event Probability

Courses

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You'll learn what probability means, explore how to describe chance processes with outcomes and sample spaces, and calculate the probability of simple events using the equally-likely-outcomes method.
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You'll discover how to estimate probability from real data by computing relative frequencies, see why small samples can be misleading, and observe how estimates stabilize as you collect more trials.
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You'll learn to build formal probability models for chance processes — both with and without equally likely outcomes — use models to predict expected frequencies, and evaluate models by comparing predictions to observed data.
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You'll extend probability to events with two or more stages by using organized lists, tables, tree diagrams, and simulation to find and interpret compound event probabilities.